April 26, 2024

Where to invest a million dollars during the war?

When all markets are falling apart, when the global financial system is collapsing, when the risks of World War 3 are growing,The question remains particularly relevant:how to save capital? Of course, if there is still something left of it ... Let's think about where you can invest money in troubled times, when there are no “islands of stability” and “safe harbor” left behind the Earth in order not only to save, but also to increase capital.

  • Promotions. Stock markets are sinking deeper intostagflationary crisis. On the one hand, we have a tightening of the monetary policy of world central banks and an increase in interest rates, on the other hand, an inflationary shock with an energy crisis. US and European stocks are not the best tools to ride out the storm right now, they still have to fall and fall. Russian stocks, of course, fell sharply, but against the backdrop of the escalation of the war with Ukraine, rapid growth cannot be expected from them either.
  • Bonds. Now the world economy is also plunging intodebt crisis, which will hit debt instruments such as bonds hard. In recent years, the debt mass in the world system has increased greatly, as long as rates were low, these debts could be easily serviced and refinanced. But now, due to the growth of rates in the world, bonds are in for difficult times and we are waiting for an increase in the number of defaults of companies, banks and entire countries.
  • Gold. In general, yes, you can keep in a portfolio, goldfeels good during stagflation and war. However, there is a nuance that during a liquidity crisis at the moment, usually all assets fall in price and precious metals are no exception. Let's remember the same year 2008. Before the runaway growth of gold began, it was first shed by 33%. In general, you can keep gold, but not for the whole cutlet, no more than 20% of the capital.
  • The property. What is in the USA, what is in Moscow is already stronghas risen in price after the pandemic and has now begun to correct this entire bubble against the backdrop of rising interest rates. With high rates, not everyone can afford to service a mortgage, so the demand for it will decrease. Plus, the fall in real incomes of the population in Russia and in the world will put further pressure on real estate.
  • Crypt. This is the same risky asset as stocks,which will fall following the Nasdaq index and technology stocks. As a means of payment and for international transfers, this is a working tool, but as an investment object, this is not the best tool, because. could easily add up to another 50%.
  • Currency. With world currencies such as dollar, euro,The yuan is also now a big uncertainty. Sitting in cash and waiting for inflation to devalue your money is not the best idea. The debt crisis will cause many countries to print even more money, which will eventually lead to the devaluation of all currencies.
  • Deposits. Some part of the purchasing powerOf course, you can save by placing money on deposits, but this is provided that the bank is large, reliable and will not be allowed to go broke. In any case, the rate on deposits does not cover inflation, and even more so there is no question of increasing capital.
  • Algorithmic strategies (trading robots). In an era of turbulence and high volatilityin financial markets, the only working means of preserving and increasing capital are algorithms that capture trends and join them. These trading robots are able to earn both on the growth of assets and on their fall, working from the short. A diversified portfolio of such algorithmic strategies on different assets is more resistant to crises than classic investments, and allows you to earn on strong movements in stocks, gold, oil, bitcoin or currency. What does it have to do with it, it doesn’t matter which way this or that asset will go, the main thing is that there are movements. The advantage is that the strategies are automated and make a decision to buy or sell without human intervention, which ultimately reduces the risks and the human factor when making a decision. There is no longer any need to guess whether stocks, gold, currencies will rise or fall. Robots independently track trends and trade according to the algorithm embedded in them, which has been tested on historical and real data for many years.
  • If you need help in increasing and preserving capital using our Alfa-Quant algorithmic strategies, write to Telegram: @voronchihin_evgeny

    Money management with the help of algorithms is carried outon different markets: on stocks and futures on the Moscow Exchange, on world currencies on Interactive brokers, as well as on cryptocurrencies on Binance. At the moment, we have 32 strategies traded in our portfolio on different assets, which show a yield of up to 60% per annum.