February 1, 2023

Economic digest 12/12/2019

The dollar / ruble pair last week rose and closed at 64.3175. Medium term couple is likely finished wave C wave 2 final diagonaltriangle 86, which is flat (markup here), and is already in wave 3. Options for long-term layout here. The RTS index fell and closed at the level of 1438.45 (long-term markup here, medium-term - here). The Russian Government Bonds Index (RGBI-tr) set a new all-time high (566.42) and closed at 564.55. See the Weekly Results program for more details.

World markets

Oil realized the figure “an inverted head andshoulders ", and went into correction. When it ends (ended), this correction will depend on where exactly the QDT, which was the last wave in motion from 42.05 (markup here), has ended, there are still options (see here). At present, flat (in more detail here) is no longer the most likely option, so far it is impossible to single out one. The week closed with WTI - 55.42, Brent - 60.73. At the end of Friday, the number of bulls in the market was 51%.

Euro / dollar (EUR / USD) finished the wave With a flat correction withMarch 2015 (you can see the markup here, the dollar index here), respectively, the X wave in the long-term markup, since the level 1.21545 was broken (earlier this signal was given by the dollar index, breaking the corresponding level), and moves towards parity. Now the pair is in the fifth wave of this movement, which is KDT. Closing of the week - 1.10154. At the end of Friday, the number of bulls on the market was 24%.

S&P Index Futures What is the last wave of growth, say for nowdifficult, most likely this is part of the corrective pattern (triangle or flat), while it is apparently not finished yet, so I expect to continue to move up soon. Closing of the week - 3143.75. At the end of Friday, the number of bulls on the market was 77%.

Gold is in wave B in a circle in the longmarkup (maybe already finished it). The metal broke through 1366.08, therefore its wave B (or X) was a triangle, and it is already moving in wave C, and, possibly, has finished it (medium-term marking here). Closing of the week - 1463.57. At the end of Friday, the number of bulls on the market was 35%.

Bitcoin struck the October low, so there is every reason to believe that the impulse from last year's low was completed on June 26 and now there is a correction to it (wave 2).

RUH666 (the founder of ruhism)