June 12, 2025

Economic digest 12/08/2019

The dollar/ruble pair fell last week and closed at 63.755. In the medium term the pair will most likelyfinished the wave from the wave of 2 final diagonalTriangle with 86, which is flat (marking here), and is already in the wave 3. Variants of long -term segments here. A pure long speculative position in the ruble futures increased by 700, from 27,300 to 28,000. The RTS index grew and closed at 1448.34 (long -term marking here, medium -term – here). The Russian government bond index (RGBI-TR) also grew and closed at 565.77. Look more in the program "Results".

World markets

Oilrealized the figure "An inverted head andshoulders ”, and went into correction. When the end (ending) this correction will depend on where specifically ended the KDT, which was the last wave in motion from 42.05 (marking here), there are so far there are options (see here). At the moment, the flat (more here) is no longer the most likely option, it is not yet possible to single out one. The net volume of long speculative positions last week fell by 42,900, from 470 900 to 428,000. The number of existing towers in the United States fell from 668 to 663. The week closed WTI - 59.20, Brent - 64.39. At the end of the medium, the number of bulls in the market was 70%.

Euro / dollar (EUR/USD) ended the wave with flat correction withMarch 2015 (you can see the markings here, the dollar index – here), respectively, the wave of X in long -term marking, since the level of 1.21545 was broken (previously this signal gave the dollar, piercing the corresponding level), and moves towards the parity. Now the couple is in the fifth wave of this movement, which is KDT. Closing the week - 1.1060. At the end of the medium, the number of bulls in the market was 33%.

Futures on the S&P index  What is the last wave of growth, sayIt is still difficult, most likely this is part of the corrective pattern (triangle or flat), while it is apparently not yet finished, so I expect upward movement in the near future. The closing of the week is 3146. At the end of the environment, the number of bulls on the market was 63%.

Goldlocated in the wave in the circle in the long -termMarking (perhaps already finished it). The metal struck on 1366.08, therefore its wave in (or x) was a triangle, and it is already moving in the wave of C, and, possibly, finished it (medium -term marking here). Closing the week - 1459.90. At the end of the medium, the number of bulls in the market was 36%.

Bitcoinbroke through the October low, so there is every reason to believe that the impulse from last year’s low was completed on June 26 and now a correction to it is underway (or completed) (wave 2).

RUH666 (ancestor of Rüchism)