April 24, 2024

Economic Digest 02/23/2020

The dollar/ruble pair rose last week and closed at 64.0725. In the medium term the pair will most likelyfinished wave C of wave 2 of the final diagonaltriangle with 86, which is flat (marking here), and is already in wave 3. Options for long-term markings are here. The net long speculative position in ruble futures increased by 100 from 26,900 to 27,000.  The RTS Index decreased and closed at 1524.71 (long-term marking here, medium-term marking here). The Russian government bond index (RGBI-tr) rose, set a new all-time high (588.32) and closed at 586.56. For more details, see the “Results of the Week” program.

World markets

Oilimplemented the “inverted head andshoulders,” and went into correction. When this correction ends (has ended) will depend on where exactly the KDT ended, which was the last wave in the movement from 42.05 (marking here), there are still options (see here). At the moment, the flat one (more details here) is no longer the most likely option (although perhaps it is A in the bullish triangle); it is not yet possible to single it out. The net volume of long speculative positions last week increased by 15,000, from 396,800 to 411,800. The number of operating towers in the US increased from 678 to 679. The week closed WTI - 53.38, Brent - 58.50. At the end of Monday, the number of bulls in the market was 26%.

Euro / dollar(EUR/USD) completed wave C of a flat correction withMarch 2015 (the marking can be viewed here, the dollar index – here), respectively, wave X in the long-term marking, since the level of 1.21545 was broken (previously this signal was given by the dollar index, breaking the corresponding level), and is moving towards parity. Now the pair is in the fifth wave of this movement, which is KDT. Closing the week - 1.0846. At the end of Monday, the number of bulls in the market was 10%.

Futures on the S&P indexWhat is the latest wave of growth, sayIt’s still difficult, most likely this is part of a corrective pattern (wave B of a triangle or flat) and whether it is finished or not is not yet clear (probably not). Closing the week - 3339.25. At the end of Monday, the number of bulls in the market stood at 78%.

Goldis in wave B in a circle in the long-termmarkings. The metal broke through 1366.08, therefore its wave B (or X) was a triangle, and it is already moving in wave C (medium-term markings here). Closing the week - 1643.23. At the end of Monday, the number of bulls in the market stood at 79%.

Bitcointhere is every reason to believe that the impulse from the year before last low was completed on June 26, a correction to it took place and now the 3rd wave is going up.

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