November 27, 2022

# Martingale on bitcoin

The beginning of the topic and then the whole base Big and easy earnings based on the theory of probability
The essence of the strategies is here only in the first post

A cook earns a lot and blindly in a small insurance business at 2.5% per week

here at the end there are two posts for those who, with 100 transactions in trading, only go to zero smart-lab.ru/blog/719482.php

Martingale on Bitcoin

SOMETIMES I FORGET TO CORRECT THE NUMBERS. THEREFORE, IF SCREEN CONTRAINS THE TEXT, BELIEVE THE SCREEN.

FOURTH STRATEGY - from 21.11.21.

Averaging over Bitcoin with a doubling of the next lot a.

The essence of the strategy - Buy now bitcoin at 58397.57. Lot 0.01. It will cost you about \$ 584

We set the lot limit to 0.02 at 55000 with a take at 60,000. It will cost about \$ 1100. Then 0.04 lots at 50,000 with a take at 55,000. This will cost \$ 2,000. Then, 0.08 lots at 45000 with a take at 50,000. This is 3600 dollars. The last fifth lot is 0.16 at 40,000 with a take of 5000. It will cost \$ 6400.

Given the volatility of Bitcoin, you can make good money. I did this for 10 years on the Sberbank futures. The results are good.

The whole strategy is \$ 13,700.

BASIC STRATEGIES.

FIRST STRATEGY: For those who want to have an average of 400-500% over 10 years.

We start from 05/27/21. At a share price of \$ 42054.

Sell ​​blindly monthly spreads with a difference of 500dollars. With a share price of \$ 41,544, we finally need \$ 12,000, with a 10% risk of losing them. But keeping 12,000 in your account is wrong, because 10,800 of them will be needed only 50% of the time. Therefore, it is easier to spend these 11,400 on another business or put on a deposit. For now, 600 is enough.

Close the position at the end of the expiration or when the stock rises by \$ 5 and open a new monthly spread.

Start-

OVERVIEW of the first strategy:

Grew up to 470.2 on sleep.

When we opened positions, the price was 465.9.It is necessary to close the old position and open a new one. Mathematics and the laws of probability are still with us and work for us. This is often the case in the insurance business. And I am showing this the simplest strategy for beginners, which implies being in the market forever, without looking for good entries. We follow the rule and buy back at 4.16 (blue) what we sold at 5.85. This is a 465 put. This gives a plus of \$ 1.69. Then, we sell at 3.13 what we bought at 4.43. We are talking about put 460 (black). This gives a minus of \$ 1.3. We subtract 1.3 = 0.39 * 100 = 39 dollars from 1.69. The previous result was \$ 615. This means that the total profit is \$ 654.

New comment:Yes, the market is going up and our profits are also growing from this. We take advantage of this. Now our profit has reached 112% in five and a half months. And it's especially nice that any cook can trade this way. The strategy is very simple. Takes about 15 minutes a month. No need to analyze the market. We just sell insurance and make money on it. Monthly insurance terms allow us to sit out all the problems in the market.

OLD POSITION:

at the junction price at 465.9.

Expiration 3.12.21.

Bought 460 puts at 4.43 and sold 465 puts at 5.85.

Today is 5.11.21. Expiration 3.12.21.

We look at the first picture.

Bought put 465 at 4.16 and sold put 460 at 3.13.

We choose the date 6.12.21. Then, we follow the rule and first buy the more distant green put and then sell the near red put, as it is written in the “new position”. This is the second picture.

NEW POSITION: at the junction at 470.21.

Expiration 6.12.21.

Bought 465 puts at 4.33 and sold 470 puts at 5.88.

Result: \$ 654 profit.

A deposit of \$ 600 for 1 attempt (out of 30 attempts, about 18,000 are needed).

The end.

SECOND STRATEGY: On Binance. Here we will also trade monthly insurances.

I recommend to those who do not have at least 300dollars to trade insurance for Sberbank on the Moscow Exchange. And it makes no sense for non-residents of Russia to go to the Moscow exchange if they have less than \$ 3,000. And if there is \$ 3,000, then it is better to trade options on the RTS futures.

It is very easy to open and replenish an account without leaving your home.

Trading has been conducted since 06/07/21, I brought in \$ 16, but \$ 4 of them is a deposit. Only \$ 12 works per try. We trade 0.0003 lots.

OLD POSITION:

Expiration 10/29/21. Bitcoin price 60 130.

Bought put 55,000 at 2275 and sold put 60,000 at 4148.

Today is 10/20/21. Expiration 10/29/21.

We look at the first picture.

Bought put 60,000 at 1302 and sold put 55,000 at 421.

NEW POSITION:

Expiration 11/26/21. Bitcoin price 65100.

Bought put 60,000 at 4521 and sold put 65000 at 6596.

The result is: \$ 15.976.

Deposit \$ 18.

But the whole amount is \$ 120 for 10 attempts.

THIRD STRATEGY: from 24.09.21

Deposit 2900 at the Moscow Exchange.

Profit 58 dollars

Now, along the way, I am leading the simplest and most profitablea newbie strategy called dynamic deltahedge. We bought 1 call at 1.175 at 127. After 5 days it costs 101. But we opened the opposite position on Forex and there profit was \$ 18 more than the loss on the option. Deposit 3600 dollars. Now we sit and equalize the delta of two positions. And it makes no difference to us whether the price falls or rises. We are just collecting profits. This is a profitable active option lock. There will be a white turn to yellow 1.118 or a blue turn to red 1.255 in 100 days. We can easily make money on this. With feet, let the professionals spoil their nerves.

FOURTH STRATEGY - from 21.11.21.

Averaging over Bitcoin with a doubling of the next lot a.

The essence of the strategy - Buy now bitcoin at 58397.57. Lot 0.01. It will cost you about \$ 584

We set the lot limit to 0.02 at 55000 with a take at 60,000. It will cost about \$ 1100. Then 0.04 lots at 50,000 with a take at 55,000. This will cost \$ 2,000. Then, 0.08 lots at 45000 with a take at 50,000. This is 3600 dollars. The last fifth lot is 0.16 at 40,000 with a take of 5000. It will cost \$ 6400.

Given the volatility of Bitcoin, you can make good money. I did this for 10 years on the Sberbank futures. The results are good.

The whole strategy is \$ 13,700.

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